Biden is ahead in the polls because of two key groups

PUBLICATION DATE / HEADLINE: 2020-07-22 “Who’s behind Trump’s big polling deficit? Two key groups defecting to Biden”

SYNOPSIS: From March to July, Biden’s average margin over Trump in an average of key polls increased 30% - from 6 points to 9. In a major poll published just last week, Biden’s margin is 11 points. Senior citizens and college educated whites are the reason for this.

Whereas in the 2016 election, there was a surge of white working-class voters to Trump, in the 2020 election we’re seeing a surge of white professional voters to Biden.

“In an average of nine live-interview national surveys conducted since the start of June, Biden is clobbering Trump 58 percent to 37 percent among whites with college degrees” - double the advantage shown by Clinton in 2016.

In 2016, Trump carried seniors by 15 percentage points, but in 2020 Biden is ahead by 5 points in an average of current polls




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page author: Tom Cloyd | reviewed 2020-08-01:0115 PDT